A new power-sharing proposal has surfaced as a potential framework for consolidating a diverse opposition coalition ahead of the 2027 General Election. Nonetheless, analysts warn that the coalition may find it difficult to stay unified if it relies solely on vague or informal promises.
The proposal suggests that a successful coalition for 2027 should be founded on a detailed and legally binding power-sharing agreement. Such a framework would ensure inclusivity within the Executive and cater to the various ambitions, political interests, and regional expectations of the coalition’s leaders.
Currently, Kenya’s Constitution only recognizes two high-level Executive roles: the President and the Deputy President. Consequently, the proposal recommends that coalition partners preemptively agree to establish a broader Executive through administrative means or pursue constitutional amendments after the election, inspired by the Building Bridges Initiative and the suggestions from the National Dialogue Committee.
The formula is designed to align with the political interests of key vote-rich regions, notably Mt Kenya and Western Kenya, while acknowledging the organized backing from Ukambani. It proposes that the three most significant Executive roles within the coalition should be allocated among different regions.
As per this arrangement, a prominent politician from Mt Kenya would take on the Deputy President or running-mate role, aimed at securing the region’s substantial electorate of approximately 5.1 million registered voters and ensuring their strong commitment to the coalition.
Ukambani, with around 1.7 million registered voters, would likely oversee government program coordination and implementation, functioning similarly to a Prime Minister.
Nairobi, the nation’s economic and political hub with about 2.4 million voters, would lead the National Assembly, thereby gaining significant influence over the national budget, resource allocation, and the approval of senior officials.
The Maa community, comprising an estimated 900,000 voters, would be considered for the Senate leadership, allowing them to advocate for issues like land rights and pastoralist welfare. The Gusii community, with roughly 960,000 voters, would also receive a key parliamentary role with influence over legislative initiatives.
The proposal advocates for a well-defined, mathematically determined allocation of Cabinet Secretary, Principal Secretary, and ambassador positions. Proponents believe that such clear commitments would instill confidence among both politicians and voters, ensuring that the coalition’s power-sharing arrangements are concrete, enforceable, and actionable.