President William Ruto’s recent tour of Nyanza has turned heads and sparked intense speculation. In a dramatic shift, Ruto has received a warm reception in Kisumu, Migori, Siaya, and Homa Bay. This is notable given the historically hostile political climate of the region, often dubbed the “Raila Wall.”
The scenes were electrifying. Thousands of enthusiastic locals flocked to see Ruto, signaling a significant political breakthrough. This reception contrasts sharply with the past, where similar visits faced hostility. What has changed?
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The answer lies in Raila Odinga, Kenya’s perennial political powerhouse. For decades, Raila has been pivotal in shaping political fortunes. His influence is so profound that a warm reception in his stronghold often signals a shift in political tides.
Ruto’s recent efforts to court Raila’s support have been strategic. After facing a tumultuous period marked by Gen Z protests and political setbacks, Ruto needed a lifeline. His choice to engage Raila directly highlights the latter’s continued dominance in Kenyan politics.
This visit comes after Ruto’s administration faced severe challenges, including the controversial 2024 Finance Act and widespread public unrest. The president’s team has been under pressure, and securing Raila’s goodwill appears to be a calculated move to stabilize his presidency.
Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, once vocal in his opposition to Raila, now finds himself alongside Ruto in this politically charged environment. Gachagua’s surprise at the reception in Migori underscores the dramatic turnaround in their political fortunes.
Interestingly, Raila himself has remained somewhat aloof about his role in this newfound camaraderie. He has downplayed any formal coalition, referring to the arrangement as simply providing support rather than a full-fledged partnership.
As Ruto continues his Nyanza tour, the political landscape seems to shift. Raila’s ability to influence political outcomes remains undiminished. This development could mark a significant turning point for Ruto’s presidency, showcasing the strategic importance of Raila Odinga in Kenyan politics.
The political dynamics are in flux, and Raila’s role in shaping Ruto’s fortunes reveals the enduring power of Kenya’s veteran politician.
By Nairobi